With job loss at over 450,000 for the month and still no end in site and
house prices still declining, although at a slower rate we are at a telling
moment.
Last year it looked as if we were going down a dark tunnel into
an economic reality we have only read about. Now we have better news, yesterday
Ford and Toyata called a bottom. The stock market called a bottom a few months
back, in March. Housing has not really called a bottom yet. We see sales
actually turning up, but home prices are still declining.
There is a lot
of pent up demand for property and yes more are buying, but many are still on
the sidelines. I blogged about REITS as a real estate investment that is liquid
and wont take the big dollars of a down payment. Much like a mutual fund with
real estate as its portfolio, you can invest and make money if you are right and
if not you can get out in minutes.
MacroShares
Now
we have a new paper investment to use. Most of us are familiar with MSA markets
and the S&P Case Shiller index. This index is very useful because it is
based on sales price not listing price. The index tracks the repeated sales of
homes going back more than twenty years.
MicroShares has created an
investment based on the Case Shiller index. For the first time, the housing
industry will have bench marks and transparency. The MacroShares Major Metro
Housing Up is designed to rise with housing prices. Its opposite, MacroShares
Major Metro Housing Down, profits when real estate values fall.
Whats it Good For
For many people who would like to buy, but are still not sure, you can
invest in MicroShares and test your theories about real estate markets.
For the investor in a multi family unit, you could hedge your bets by
buying the MicroShares Down Major Metro Housing Down shares. If you were early
in your real estate investment, you would see some profit in the paper real
estate investment and put a floor under your real world loss. Their stock market
ticker symbols are: UMM and DMM
Of course, some will become expert in
picking the direction of the housing rices and do well with no insurance costs,
mortgage interest of roof leaks.
*Chart source:
cbsmarketwatch.com
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