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Commercial Property: Money Becoming Available

Lenders
may be beginning to open up as they see some signs of an economy that
is stabilizing. Data released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
notes commercial and multifamily mortgage originations rose 12% in the
fourth quarter year over year. Loan originations in the fourth quarter
also were 15% higher than in the third quarter. life insurance
companies posted a whopping 112% increase in loan originations in the
fourth quarter of 2009 compared with the fourth quarter of 2008,
reports MBA. if you look to the chart, you can see releative
stabilization in the last five quarters.
To be sure, commercial
and multifamily originations remain at low levels. The
Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations Index, fell 79%
over the last two years.The Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers
Originations Index, for example, fell 79% over a two-year period ending
in the third quarter of 2009.
And more to come: According to
Foresight Analytics. For banks with $100 million in assets to $100
billion, commercial real estate is the largest part of their loan
portfolio. Relatively little single-family. The regional banks are the
sweet spot for bad commercial paper, with most small and midsized
regional banks about to take the brunt of the storm.
Most of the
problem loans were made between 2003 and 2007 and will be looking to
refi or face possible default. They are expected to face the markets
and the default rate should level off around 2011, Foresight Analytics
thinks we are about 60% through the loss process.
Money from
large insurers and REITs seem to be picking up the slack as the banks
still remain on the sidelines, preferring to rebuild their balance
sheets rather than lend into a recession. Wherever the money is coming
from, it is looking up
What it means for buyers and sellers of
small properties and residential homes is that loan availability may be
more likely from larger banks rather than the regionals as they brace
for the onslaught of bad paper expected to crest in late 2010 or 2011.
REsourced
from www.yourpropertypath.com
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